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equations for about 1,500 schools that it developed using the admission data they release. Applying to college, especially selective colleges, is really tough. But programs like AdmissionSplash can't do this. But there is still something to the law of the instrument, or, in its proverbial form, "if all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail.". It's not immediately obvious why these are necessary, because the data sets AdmissionSplash says they pull stats from don't break down by high school and home address. While I have no reason to believe that they are not on the level, it is always best practices on the Internet to be skeptical of anyone asking for this sort of information when they have not demonstrated a clear need for it (and often. I'm not a technological determinist by any means. It, and tools like it, actively harm the college admissions process.

I understand that chancing may be fun, or a way to blow off steam, or just something to do because we haven't made the app available yet. Every summer, as students begin the college search process, newbies flood the boards with "chance" threads, in which they post their GPA, SAT/ACT scores, and some extracurriculars, and ask for complete strangers on the Internet to assess their likelihood of admission. Reminder: No one, not even me, can give you an accurate chance at MIT! On Tuesday, the company is launching a Facebook app called AdmissionSplash that shows prospective college students how likely it is that they will be admitted to each school on their lists.

It's hard to know how to gauge your likelihood of acceptance. In fact, it is much worse than unhelpful. Because of a billion other reasons along the way. And to the extent that people think tools like AdmissionSplash are useful, they will begin, subconsciously or consciously, to tailor their applications to focus on things that look good on AdmissionSplash, since that's the only heuristic they have.

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Especially when, as in the case with AdmissionSplash's parent company Splash Networks, you can't find anything else on the Internet about them. Programs like AdmissionSplash are bad because they emphasize the wrong things. In other words, they are getting a lot more private information from you than they themselves say they need. Yet another reason to proceed with caution - or better yet, to not proceed at all. They can't make sense of the application in its whole. Startup Splash Networks wants to make selecting schools to send an application to easier. But, as we say here over and over and over again, the numbers are probably the least important part of an application to MIT. What I said then, of CC chance threads, is true now of AdmissionSplash: No one on this forum, not even me, can give you a meaningful chance at MIT. They can't do it for all of the reasons I mentioned in the CC thread. I don't want anyone who isn't aware of this to be misled into thinking that CC chances are accurate or meaningful in any way (they aren't and could never be!). They don't have all the information admissions offices.

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